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Statistical and mathematical modelling can reveal a great deal about the customers you serve. With
better projection analysis, your services can become more responsive and preventative. Alternatively modelling
techniques can help you answer the 'why' question, as well as answering 'what next'.
Our philosophy is that modelling techniques are only limited by your imagination. Tell us the problem you are trying
to solve, and let us find the technique that is best suited. The following are real examples that Belake officers have been involved in.
- Risk analysis, where the risk factors contributing to a particular issue have been identified, weighted,
and then mapped to identify geographical locations and sections of the community that are most at risk and facilitate
a preventative response accordingly. Examples include risk of heart disease, risk of cancers, environmental and social
factors creating a risk of crime.
- Separating environmental factors from man made factors, and quantifying them. When a county fire and rescue service
saw an increase in fires, a Belake officer was able to describe the proportion that we due to an increase in accidental
fires due to a long hot summer, as distinct from those which were due to deliberate ignition.
- Population and demographic trend analysis. If you don't believe ONS population estimates, or if they're simply not
detailed enough, then we can help provide a better qualitative and quantitative analysis by using additional local datasets.
- Dynamical modelling can be applied to any system or scenario that evolves over time. It can be used, for example
to the model the changes in a population of wildlife, helping to anticipate dramatic, and possibly catastrophic changes.
This powerful tool can also reveal hidden qualities to an ecology, that can be used to your advantages. The same techniques
can be applied to groups of people too. Anything from passengers on a platform to age trends in population.
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